Crucial Quote
President Donald Trump hailed the court’s ruling Tuesday as a “BIG WIN FOR REPUBLICANS,” further highlighting how the decision is likely to boost the GOP.
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Big Number
$125.5 million. That’s how much cash on hand the Republican National Committee had at the end of May, according to the Federal Election Commission, compared with the Democratic National Committee only having $14.9 million on hand—and $18.3 million in debt.
Why Could The Court’s Ruling Help Republicans In The Midterms?
Democrats have historically been better at raising money for individual candidates—whose accounts are subject to much smaller donation caps—by getting a lot of donations from small-money donors, while Republicans are better at pulling in fewer but bigger donations from rich donors. While those larger donations historically haven’t been able to be used by the candidates directly, Tuesday’s ruling means GOP candidates now can take advantage of those bigger payouts to the party. Republicans have been stockpiling their cash in order to spend big if the Supreme Court ruled in their favor, the New York Times reports, with RNC chief of staff Mike Ambrosini telling the Times the litigation was “one of the main reasons that anyone that is a Republican should not write our obituary in June.”
What To Watch For
While Tuesday’s ruling is likely to give Republicans a short-term boost, Democrats are likely to implement new strategies on how to compete in the new campaign finance landscape and use the lack of spending caps to their advantage. That could level the playing field in future elections, the Times noted.
What Does Tuesday’s Ruling Mean For Wealthy Donors?
Wealthy donors are limited in how much they can give to individual candidates, with a cap of only $7,000—$3,500 each for a primary and general election—so donors who supported a candidate previously had little way to support their campaign directly, since $7,000 doesn’t go that far. They can give a much bigger amount to parties, however: Donations are capped at $44,000 for a national party, plus an additional $132,900 for each separate campaign account that a party establishes, like for recounts or legal challenges. They can also give $10,000 to state and local party committees. After Tuesday’s ruling, that much larger donation they give the party can now be used to more directly benefit their candidate of choice. The Supreme Court’s majority argued Tuesday that other federal rules around earmarking will keep wealthy donors from being able to influence where their money goes, as if a donor were to say the money they give to a party should be sent to a specific candidate, it would count as a donation to that candidate under federal law and be subject to the $7,000 cap. But the liberal justices expressed skepticism of that view, particularly when donors give money to joint fundraising committees that a candidate and party manage together. “Parties have substantial incentives to ensure that a candidate can use (and use directly) most of the money he raises for his joint committee,” Justice Elena Kagan wrote in her dissent, which Justices Sonia Sotomayor and Ketanji Brown Jackson joined.
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Surprising Fact
One particular place where the court’s ruling is likely to make a difference is in television ads, as candidates pay a much cheaper rate than parties or outside groups like super PACs do. That means Democrats have been able to use their larger candidate accounts to run more ads for a lower price than Republicans—but Tuesday’s ruling now means parties can send money to candidates to produce ads at those cheaper rates. As a result, Republicans especially are likely to now “flood the airwaves” with more advertising than before ahead of the November midterms, Politico reported before Tuesday’s ruling, citing a January memo from the National Republican Congressional Committee to broadcast television leadership. The memo noted the upcoming ruling and predicted that while a ruling in Republicans’ favor meant the GOP will likely be paying less per ad than they did before, broadcasters won’t lose money because of “volume gains.”
What We Don’t Know
If any corrupt donations could result from Tuesday’s ruling. Sotomayor and the other liberal justices took a pessimistic view of how wealthy donors and candidates could use the court’s ruling in their dissent Tuesday, predicting a donor could secure favors from a candidate by sending large donations to their political party. “Suppose John Smith says to a donor: ‘If you give money to my Victory Fund, I will subsidize your latest venture,’” Sotomayor wrote, referring to a candidate’s joint fundraising fund with their party. “And then the donor gives that money, without any earmark. That is a quid pro quo, pure and simple: The donor is making a requested payment to the candidate’s joint fundraising committee in exchange for an official act.”
Further Reading
Supreme Court Weighs Abolishing Key Campaign Spending Limit—Why Republicans Stand To Gain (Forbes)
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