CONTRA
Another Polymarket bettor is having a much different day. A bettor with the username “fishalive” bet $400,000 that Spain wouldn’t win—and cashed out at $4.7 million.
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BIG NUMBER
9%. Those were the odds the winning Polymarket bettor played on the way to his $4.7 million payday.
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KEY BACKGROUND
Massive upsets are part of the tournament’s legacy, and this year’s is the first World Cup taking place when a clear majority of the U.S. population has legal access to sports betting. Research firm Eilers & Krejcik Gaming estimates $4.4 billion will be wagered in the U.S. alone, up from $1.8 billion during the 2022 tournament. Dan Singer, head of McKinsey & Company’s Sports and Gaming practice, told the New York Times the amount of money being wagered could reach the level of “eight to 10 Super Bowls.” The Cape Verde game was the most shocking, but 1-1 draws between Qatar and Switzerland, and Morocco and Brazil, have also come as surprises at this year’s World Cup.
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further reading
ForbesWorld Cup Ads Face Unique Challenges, Opportunities This SummerBy John Cassillo
ForbesThe Highest-Paid Players At The 2026 World CupBy Brett Knight